Real-world incidents Fulcrum is tracking. Each event collects structured claims, supporting evidence, and the audit trail behind every status change.
78 of 78 events
Ukrainian General Staff reporting in July–August 2026 indicated that Russia had lost over 1.45 million troops in Ukraine since the full-scale invasion began on 24 February 2022. Over 42,000 Russian losses were recorded in July 2026 alone, described as a 2026 high. Zelensky claimed Russian KIA figures were 14 times higher than Ukraine's.
Started Jun 30, 2026 · Updated 1d ago
Around May–June 2026, data from DeepState and other monitoring sources indicated that Russia's monthly territorial gains in Ukraine had slipped into negative figures for the first time since 2023, suggesting Ukrainian counteroffensive actions were reclaiming ground. Ukraine also reported fresh offensive pushes on the southern front.
Started May 27, 2026 · Updated 1d ago
Around 1–2 August 2026, Ukrainian forces struck one of Russia's largest oil refineries on two consecutive nights. A separate drone strike on a refinery in Volgograd was also reported around 28 May 2026. These attacks were part of a broader Ukrainian escalation of strikes against Russian energy and logistics infrastructure.
Started Aug 1, 2026 · Updated 1d ago
Over approximately 1–3 August 2026, Russian attacks killed at least eight people and injured 66 across Ukraine, with Zaporizhzhia Oblast suffering the most severe impact. A gas station attack in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast killed three people including a rescue worker and his eight-year-old son. A separate attack on transport infrastructure in Odesa Oblast wounded 13.
Started Aug 1, 2026 · Updated 1d ago
On or around 5 August 2026, Russia launched ballistic missile attacks targeting Kyiv and surrounding areas, killing at least 17 people. Ukraine warned that a shortage of missile interceptors was a contributing factor in the high death toll. The attack was described by witnesses as one of the most frightening nights of the war.
Started Aug 5, 2026 · Updated 1d ago
In late July 2026, Russian Armed Forces reportedly captured the settlement of Nova Sech in Sumy Oblast as part of ongoing advances in the Burluk direction. The settlement had previously hosted Ukrainian artillery and UAV positions covering a logistics hub at Yunakivka.
Started Jul 1, 2026 · Updated 2d ago
In late July and early August 2026, Romania scrambled F-16 fighters and shot down at least one suspected Russian drone that crossed from Ukraine's Danube River border area into Romanian airspace. Romania reported shooting down a third drone in three days by late July, reflecting escalating tensions over Russian airspace violations.
Started Jul 24, 2026 · Updated 2d ago
Around August 3, 2026, Ukrainian Magura sea drones reportedly struck Russian radar systems in occupied Crimea. The attack was part of Ukraine's ongoing maritime drone campaign in the Black Sea region.
Started Aug 3, 2026 · Updated 2d ago
Over several days spanning late July and early August 2026, Ukrainian forces conducted a series of drone strikes targeting Wildberries retail warehouses in multiple Russian regions including Vladimir Oblast, Tula Oblast, and locations near Moscow and St. Petersburg. The campaign drew public comment from the Wildberries CEO.
Started Jul 31, 2026 · Updated 2d ago
On August 4, 2026, Russia launched a ballistic missile attack on Kyiv, causing multiple fires across the capital. Ukrainian authorities reported at least 14 people killed in the Kyiv region and additional injuries. Multiple explosions were reported across the city.
Started Aug 4, 2026 · Updated 2d ago
On August 3, 2026, a Ukrainian drone struck a crowded Russian beach, killing at least 7 people and injuring approximately 40. Russia attributed the strike to Ukraine, while the incident occurred amid an escalating exchange of long-range strikes between the two sides.
Started Aug 3, 2026 · Updated 2d ago
Between approximately July 29 and August 2, 2026, Russia conducted a series of missile and drone strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure, including port facilities in Odessa, a warehouse in Kyiv Oblast, a residential building in Zaporizhzhia, and a publisher's warehouse. Simultaneously, Ukraine carried out drone strikes on Russian targets including oil refineries, airfields, and warehouses, and claimed to have sunk a sanctioned Russian vessel in the Black Sea.
Started Jul 29, 2026 · Updated 5d ago
Russia launched a series of large-scale overnight aerial attacks on Ukraine around June 1–2, 2026, killing at least 22 people and injuring over 130 across the country. Explosions were reported in Kyiv and other cities, with intelligence warnings preceding at least one wave of strikes.
Started Jun 1, 2026 · Updated 5d ago
In late July 2026, Russian Armed Forces reported advances north and northwest of Kostiantynivka in Donetsk Oblast, pushing toward Alekseyevo-Druzhkivka. Fighting included building clearances in the Novoselivka district, with UAV operators actively supporting assault units.
Started Jul 28, 2026 · Updated 6d ago
Russia launched multiple missile attacks on Kyiv around July 30–31, 2026, killing at least nine people according to Ukrainian officials. The strikes included ballistic missiles and were described as the second major attack in 48 hours. A US firm's drone factory in Kyiv was also reportedly destroyed in a related strike.
Started Jul 30, 2026 · Updated 6d ago
Around 29 July 2026, a Ukrainian F-16 fighter jet crashed during a combat mission while reportedly pursuing Russian air targets. The pilot ejected safely.
Started Jul 29, 2026 · Updated 7d ago
Between late July 2026, Ukraine conducted a series of drone and missile strikes on Wildberries logistics warehouses and other Russian economic infrastructure including oil refineries. The strikes disrupted the company's operations and prompted it to hide military goods from search results.
Started Jul 24, 2026 · Updated 7d ago
On or around 30 July 2026, a Russian missile strike killed at least 6 members of the same family in a Ukrainian village. Separately, a missile — likely Russian — crashed inside Polish territory, triggering NATO and Warsaw responses. Zelensky alleged the weapon used against the family was a North Korean missile.
Started Jul 30, 2026 · Updated 7d ago
Russia launched a series of large-scale ballistic missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian cities around July 29, 2026, including a strike on a Kyiv arms exhibition that killed at least 12 people. Multiple cities were hit, with reported total casualties of at least 14 killed and dozens injured. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy had warned of an imminent 'massive' Russian attack before the strikes.
Started Jul 25, 2026 · Updated 8d ago
Ukraine conducted multiple drone and missile strikes against energy facilities and military infrastructure in Russian-occupied Crimea over several days in late July 2026, causing widespread power outages. Targets included the Chornomornaftogaz facility and Russian drone relay systems.
Started Jul 25, 2026 · Updated 8d ago
Ukraine struck an Iranian vessel in the Caspian Sea in late July 2026, reportedly used for military cargo transport. Iran condemned the strike, summoned the Ukrainian diplomat in Tehran, and threatened retaliation, creating a significant diplomatic incident that linked the Ukraine and Iran conflicts.
Started Jul 25, 2026 · Updated 8d ago
Russian forces conducted a daytime jet-powered drone strike on a supermarket in Chernihiv, Ukraine on July 26, 2026, killing at least 2 people including a child and injuring 25. Ukrainian military intelligence subsequently identified the Russian unit responsible for the attack.
Started Jul 26, 2026 · Updated 8d ago
On or around 23 July 2026, a military factory in Kirov, Russia, was set ablaze following a reported Flamingo and drone attacks. Local Russian authorities reported casualties from the incident.
Started Jul 23, 2026 · Updated 10d ago
Around 24 July 2026, Ukraine conducted drone strikes on warehouses and energy infrastructure in Belgorod and separately reported a fire at Engels air base, home to Russia's strategic bomber fleet. The strikes are part of Ukraine's ongoing deep-strike campaign inside Russian territory.
Started Jul 24, 2026 · Updated 11d ago
On 24 July 2026, Russian forces struck a drone and arms exhibition near Kyiv with a ballistic missile, killing at least 10 people and injuring approximately 100. The attack occurred during daylight hours and followed earlier explosions in Kyiv the previous day. Zelensky warned of further mass missile attacks in the aftermath.
Started Jul 23, 2026 · Updated 11d ago
In late May 2026, Ukrainian President Zelensky sent Trump an urgent letter warning of critical missile defense shortages while also warning publicly that Russia was preparing a new large-scale attack. Concurrent claims addressed Russian Oreshnik missile capabilities.
Started May 22, 2026 · Updated 11d ago
In late July 2026, diplomatic activity around the Ukraine war intensified: top US and Russian diplomats met in Manila, the EU agreed a 21st sanctions package against Russia, and Kazakhstan's president urged a freeze in the conflict.
Started Jul 22, 2026 · Updated 11d ago
On 23 July 2026, a Russian strike on Zaporizhzhia city injured at least 25 people, including six children. The attack added to broader concerns about strikes near the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant.
Started May 28, 2026 · Updated 11d ago
Around 25–26 July 2026, Ukrainian President Zelensky issued multiple warnings: that Russia was preparing to send additional North Korean troops, that Putin was preparing a new mobilization wave, and that Ukraine had developed new priority targets for deep strikes inside Russia.
Started Jul 25, 2026 · Updated 11d ago
On 25 July 2026, Russia conducted widespread drone and missile attacks across Ukraine, killing at least 11 people and injuring 70 or more. Targets included civilian infrastructure such as a holiday camp and a hypermarket in Kryvyi Rih.
Started Jul 25, 2026 · Updated 11d ago
Around July 2026, German prosecutors formally accused Kyiv of ordering the 2022 Nord Stream pipeline sabotage, and a Ukrainian individual was charged in Germany in connection with the blasts. The proceedings represent a significant escalation in the legal investigation into the incident.
Started Jul 2, 2026 · Updated 12d ago
Around 18 June 2026, Russian forces conducted strikes including a reported drone strike near Moscow by Ukraine, while G7 leaders pledged to boost Ukraine's air defences and tighten sanctions. Separately, a Russian warship fired warning shots at a UK vessel in the English Channel.
Started Jun 16, 2026 · Updated 13d ago
Around 20 July 2026, up to 145 Russian troops were reported to remain inside Kostiantynivka as Ukrainian forces maintained defensive positions. A separate incident saw two Ukrainian soldiers captured after a flag-raising operation in the city.
Started Jul 20, 2026 · Updated 13d ago
In mid-July 2026, an assassination attempt was carried out against a Ukrainian businessman in Monaco. The target publicly attributed the attack to the Ukrainian spy agency (SBU), while new footage of the incident emerged.
Started Jul 15, 2026 · Updated 13d ago
From at least 22 July 2026, Russia escalated attacks on Black Sea port infrastructure, severely disrupting Ukraine's grain export capacity. Ukraine called an emergency UN session, and the grain industry was reported to be nearing a crisis point.
Started Jul 22, 2026 · Updated 13d ago
On 24 July 2026, Russian forces struck Sloviansk in eastern Ukraine with glide bombs, killing five people and injuring nine others. The attack is part of ongoing Russian bombardment of the Donetsk region.
Started Jul 24, 2026 · Updated 13d ago
Ukraine conducted repeated drone strikes against Wildberries logistics warehouses in St Petersburg over approximately one week culminating around 22–24 July 2026, sparking major fires and placing Russia's large e-commerce logistics network under significant strain. This was reportedly the fifth such strike in a week.
Started Jul 22, 2026 · Updated 13d ago
In late July 2026, the UN reported a steep rise in civilian casualties in the Russia-Ukraine war. Ukraine also published an emergency guide for residents of occupied Crimea around the same time.
Started Jul 21, 2026 · Updated 16d ago
In mid-to-late July 2026, multiple reports highlighted Ukraine's growing difficulty in recruiting and retaining soldiers, with some military recruiters facing violence from the public. Concerns about soldier morale and motivation were also widely reported.
Started Jul 18, 2026 · Updated 16d ago
On July 21, 2026, Ukraine conducted multiple strikes on Russian territory and Russian-held areas, including reported fires in southern Russia, blackouts in occupied Crimea, hits on Wildberries warehouses, and a strike on a Russian fighter jet and air defenses in Kursk Oblast. Separately, a Russian daytime strike killed three in Zaporizhzhia.
Started Jul 21, 2026 · Updated 16d ago
On July 21, 2026, Ukrainian President Zelensky dismissed Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi and replaced him with Mykhailo Drapatyi, reportedly following days of domestic protests. The leadership change coincided with a broader political standoff involving figures such as Fedorov.
Started Jul 21, 2026 · Updated 16d ago
In early July 2026, Ukraine conducted a series of strikes on Russian energy and logistics targets, including a reported energy equipment plant in Belgorod, power stations across occupied Ukraine, and shadow fleet tankers in the Azov Sea. Ukrainian drone activity also extended to Crimea and Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Started Jul 2, 2026 · Updated 16d ago
Ukraine experienced a domestic political crisis in mid-to-late July 2026, with protests erupting after Zelenskyy's dismissal of the defence minister and reports of an imminent sacking of army chief Syrskyi. Protesters gave Zelenskyy a deadline by Friday to resolve the situation, amid growing pressure over military leadership decisions.
Started Jul 15, 2026 · Updated 17d ago
Russia launched a major ballistic missile attack on Ukrainian cities around July 18–19, 2026, including a five-hour bombardment of Kyiv described as one of the largest ballistic missile attacks of the war. Russian attacks over the period killed 14 and injured over 160 across Ukraine.
Started Jul 18, 2026 · Updated 17d ago
Russian forces struck civilian and merchant shipping in the Black Sea around July 19, 2026, killing at least 10 people aboard a civilian grain ship. Reports indicate a pattern of intensifying Russian attacks on merchant vessels in the region.
Started Jul 19, 2026 · Updated 17d ago
A Russian airstrike struck downtown Sumy on July 3, 2026, killing at least four people including a child and injuring at least 20. This followed a pattern of Russian strikes across Ukraine in the days prior and coincided with Putin publicly stating mass missile attacks 'must continue.'
Started Jul 3, 2026 · Updated 17d ago
Russian forces conducted a large-scale combined missile and drone strike on Kyiv on the night of July 1–2, 2026, killing at least 30 people and injuring over 90. The attack involved cruise missiles, a hypersonic Zircon missile, and UAVs, targeting military-industrial, energy, and logistics infrastructure. Portions of Kyiv lost power as a result of damage to energy facilities.
Started Jul 1, 2026 · Updated 17d ago
Ukrainian forces conducted drone strikes targeting Crimea's energy infrastructure and Russian shadow fleet vessels on July 19–20, 2026. Ukraine's military reported hitting seven shadow fleet vessels and energy facilities in occupied Crimea, with Zelensky also confirming strikes on Russian oil depots and logistics in Moscow Oblast and six Black Sea vessels.
Started Jul 19, 2026 · Updated 17d ago
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy traveled to Turkey for the NATO summit around July 6–7, 2026, where he met with US President Trump. Reports indicated Trump and Zelenskyy were to discuss strategy to pressure Russia into peace talks, with Trump repositioning himself as a peacemaker following a call with Putin.
Started Jul 4, 2026 · Updated 17d ago
Russia deployed new Pantsir air defence systems on Moscow rooftops in late May 2026, reportedly in response to the growing threat of Ukrainian drone strikes. Multiple sources reported the deployment and broader bolstering of Moscow's air defences.
Started May 28, 2026 · Updated 24d ago
Ukraine conducted long-range drone strikes against Russian oil refinery infrastructure in the July 5–6, 2026 period, including reported strikes on a refinery in Yaroslavl and Russia's largest oil refinery in Omsk, approximately 2,500 km from the Ukrainian border.
Started Jul 3, 2026 · Updated 24d ago
Ukraine conducted missile and drone strikes on the Russian city of Belgorod across the July 2–6, 2026 period, causing fires, power outages, and disruption to water supply. A Ukrainian missile strike on a Russian airport in the Belgorod area was also reported, with a blackout extending across Belgorod Oblast.
Started Jul 2, 2026 · Updated 24d ago
Russia claimed to have captured the strategic Ukrainian city of Kostiantynivka around July 3–5, 2026. Ukraine denied the claim, and Russia subsequently proposed a temporary local ceasefire and handover of bodies, calling for talks in Moscow. Ukraine rejected the ceasefire proposal, and Russia accused Ukraine of the rejection.
Started Jul 3, 2026 · Updated 24d ago
Ukrainian drones struck a major oil terminal near St Petersburg, Russia, around July 4, 2026, also reportedly hitting a nearby port. Multiple sources reported the strike, and fires were described at the terminal.
Started Jul 3, 2026 · Updated 24d ago
Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) conducted strikes on Russia's Saky air base in occupied Crimea on or around July 3, 2026, marking the second such strike within a week. Separate Ukrainian drone and strike operations also targeted ferry terminals and airfields elsewhere in Crimea, and footage was released showing a Russian fighter jet destroyed by a drone on the peninsula.
Started Jul 3, 2026 · Updated 24d ago
Russia conducted a series of large-scale missile and drone attacks on Kyiv between July 3 and July 6, 2026, described as among the heaviest of the war. At least 23 people were killed in the July 6 attack alone, with further casualties reported in follow-on strikes. The attacks caused severe air quality degradation, structural damage to residential buildings, and prompted a Day of Mourning in Kyiv.
Started Jul 3, 2026 · Updated 24d ago
In the first days of June 2026, Russian attacks across Ukraine resulted in multiple mass-casualty incidents, including a massive drone assault on Kherson killing 16 and injuring 86, and a market strike in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast killing 8 and injuring 62. Separate attacks killed 5 in Sumy Oblast and 12 elsewhere.
Started Jun 3, 2026 · Updated Jul 5, 2026
Around 2 July 2026, a Russian overnight attack destroyed approximately 800,000 Ukrainian books, and a separate explosion at a major Ukrainian postal company in Kyiv killed one and injured two. These incidents occurred in the immediate context of the broader Kyiv barrage.
Started Jul 2, 2026 · Updated Jul 5, 2026
On 4 July 2026, US President Trump spoke with Russian President Putin and offered to help end the Russia-Ukraine war, according to the Kremlin. The call occurred on US Independence Day, and Zelensky separately thanked Washington for continued support.
Started Jul 4, 2026 · Updated Jul 5, 2026
Russia launched what was described as its most massive attack on Kyiv on the night of 1–2 July 2026, deploying missiles and drones against the Ukrainian capital. The attack killed at least 27–30 people and injured more than 80, striking residential apartment buildings. Both sides vowed to escalate following the barrage.
Started Jul 1, 2026 · Updated Jul 5, 2026
In late May to early June 2026, Ukraine launched multiple drone attacks targeting St Petersburg, including an oil terminal, coinciding with Russia's St Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF). Russia described one attack as 'unprecedented' and reported hundreds of drones downed.
Started Jun 2, 2026 · Updated Jun 15, 2026
On June 2, 2026, a drone attack struck a civilian bus in Russian-controlled territory in Ukraine, killing seven people. The incident was reported as part of escalating drone warfare in the region.
Started Jun 2, 2026 · Updated Jun 15, 2026
Between early and mid-June 2026, Ukraine conducted multiple drone and missile strikes against Russian energy infrastructure, including a chemical plant, oil depot, and a marine terminal in Krasnodar Krai, setting several facilities ablaze.
Started Jun 5, 2026 · Updated Jun 15, 2026
On June 14, 2026, Russia conducted a large-scale missile and drone attack on Kyiv, striking residential buildings and damaging a historic cathedral. At least nine people were reported killed across Ukraine in the attack.
Started Jun 14, 2026 · Updated Jun 15, 2026
In early to mid-June 2026, Ukraine reported new strikes on bridges linking Crimea with mainland Russia, while pro-Ukrainian partisans claimed the Russian Black Sea Fleet command was planning to relocate from Crimea to Novorossiysk. A Turkish-flagged fishing vessel was also attacked near occupied Crimea.
Started Jun 3, 2026 · Updated Jun 15, 2026
In late May 2026, Ukrainian UAVs attacked multiple vessels in the Black Sea north of the Bosphorus Strait, reportedly striking Russian shadow fleet tankers conducting offshore oil transfers. The strikes were attributed to Ukraine by Russian-affiliated sources.
Started May 27, 2026 · Updated Jun 3, 2026
On or around May 28, 2026, a Russian drone struck a residential building in Romania during a wider aerial attack on Ukraine, injuring two people. NATO condemned Russia's actions, and Putin claimed the drone was likely Ukrainian. Romania, a NATO member, was struck amid broader Russian air operations.
Started May 28, 2026 · Updated May 31, 2026
In late May 2026, Western leaders and Ukrainian officials expressed concern about Belarus potentially offering military assistance to Russia. France's Macron called Lukashenko in a rare diplomatic contact, while a Belarusian opposition leader visited Ukraine.
Started May 24, 2026 · Updated May 31, 2026
Ukrainian President Zelensky visited Sweden in late May 2026 for an announcement that Sweden would provide 16 Gripen fighter jets to Ukraine. The development was described as significant for Ukraine's air capabilities.
Started May 27, 2026 · Updated May 29, 2026
Russian strikes on Kherson on May 27, 2026 killed at least two people and injured 23 across Ukraine. One strike specifically targeted a playground in Kherson, killing a father and injuring his family.
Started May 27, 2026 · Updated May 28, 2026
In mid-to-late May 2026, Russia warned Latvia of retaliation over reported Ukrainian drone plans, which Latvia dismissed as fiction. Separately, a Ukrainian drone was shot down by a NATO jet over Estonia, with Kyiv blaming Moscow for steering it there.
Started May 18, 2026 · Updated May 28, 2026
On May 26–27, 2026, Russian forces conducted widespread strikes across Ukraine including an Iskander missile strike on a UN humanitarian warehouse in Dnipro, strikes on Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv, and an airstrike on Kramatorsk injuring at least 12. Simultaneously, Ukraine launched overnight UAV and missile strikes on Crimea, targeting Sevastopol and an electrical power station, with Russian air defenses reportedly intercepting multiple missiles.
Started May 26, 2026 · Updated May 28, 2026
Ukraine conducted a series of long-range drone strikes on oil refineries deep inside Russia in May 2026, halting oil refining operations in central Russia. Multiple refineries were targeted, including the Syzran and Tuapse facilities. Russia's Syzran refinery reportedly halted operations following a strike around May 21.
Started May 21, 2026 · Updated May 28, 2026
Around 24–25 May 2026, Ukrainian forces conducted multiple offensive strikes against Russian military and energy infrastructure, including an oil facility in Bryansk Oblast, logistics targets near Mariupol, and Russian military infrastructure in occupied Luhansk Oblast using Storm Shadow missiles.
Started May 24, 2026 · Updated May 28, 2026
Around 25–26 May 2026, Russia's Foreign Ministry and senior officials including Lavrov publicly announced plans for new mass strikes on Kyiv, specifically targeting 'decision-making centers.' The threats prompted European countries to summon Russian envoys and triggered diplomatic warnings about further escalation.
Started May 25, 2026 · Updated May 28, 2026
On the night of 23–24 May 2026, Russian forces conducted one of the largest ballistic missile and drone strikes of the war against Kyiv and surrounding regions, causing casualties and damage across all districts of the capital. At least 4 people were killed and around 100 injured. The attack reportedly included Oreshnik MRBM launches, Tsirkon missiles, and UAVs targeting industrial, warehouse, and administrative facilities.
Started May 23, 2026 · Updated May 28, 2026
In the days preceding and following the 23–24 May 2026 Kyiv attack, multiple reports emerged warning of potential Oreshnik missile use, Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian cities, and Putin's vow to retaliate following accusations of Ukrainian strikes on a student dormitory in Luhansk. These claims provide context for the broader Russian escalation campaign in late May 2026.
Started May 23, 2026 · Updated May 27, 2026
Kherson Oblast, southern Ukraine — Dnipro river, Nova Kakhovka reservoir area
Started Jun 6, 2023 · Updated Jun 10, 2023