Real-world incidents Fulcrum is tracking. Each event collects structured claims, supporting evidence, and the audit trail behind every status change.
Russia launched a series of large-scale overnight aerial attacks on Ukraine around June 1–2, 2026, killing at least 22 people and injuring over 130 across the country. Explosions were reported in Kyiv and other cities, with intelligence warnings preceding at least one wave of strikes.
Started June 1, 2026
On or around May 28, 2026, a Russian drone struck a residential building in Romania during a wider aerial attack on Ukraine, injuring two people. NATO condemned Russia's actions, and Putin claimed the drone was likely Ukrainian. Romania, a NATO member, was struck amid broader Russian air operations.
Started May 28, 2026
In late May 2026, Ukrainian UAVs attacked multiple vessels in the Black Sea north of the Bosphorus Strait, reportedly striking Russian shadow fleet tankers conducting offshore oil transfers. The strikes were attributed to Ukraine by Russian-affiliated sources.
Started May 27, 2026
Ukrainian President Zelensky visited Sweden in late May 2026 for an announcement that Sweden would provide 16 Gripen fighter jets to Ukraine. The development was described as significant for Ukraine's air capabilities.
Started May 27, 2026
Russian strikes on Kherson on May 27, 2026 killed at least two people and injured 23 across Ukraine. One strike specifically targeted a playground in Kherson, killing a father and injuring his family.
Started May 27, 2026
On May 26–27, 2026, Russian forces conducted widespread strikes across Ukraine including an Iskander missile strike on a UN humanitarian warehouse in Dnipro, strikes on Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv, and an airstrike on Kramatorsk injuring at least 12. Simultaneously, Ukraine launched overnight UAV and missile strikes on Crimea, targeting Sevastopol and an electrical power station, with Russian air defenses reportedly intercepting multiple missiles.
Started May 26, 2026
Around 25–26 May 2026, Russia's Foreign Ministry and senior officials including Lavrov publicly announced plans for new mass strikes on Kyiv, specifically targeting 'decision-making centers.' The threats prompted European countries to summon Russian envoys and triggered diplomatic warnings about further escalation.
Started May 25, 2026
In late May 2026, Western leaders and Ukrainian officials expressed concern about Belarus potentially offering military assistance to Russia. France's Macron called Lukashenko in a rare diplomatic contact, while a Belarusian opposition leader visited Ukraine.
Started May 24, 2026
Around 24–25 May 2026, Ukrainian forces conducted multiple offensive strikes against Russian military and energy infrastructure, including an oil facility in Bryansk Oblast, logistics targets near Mariupol, and Russian military infrastructure in occupied Luhansk Oblast using Storm Shadow missiles.
Started May 24, 2026
On the night of 23–24 May 2026, Russian forces conducted one of the largest ballistic missile and drone strikes of the war against Kyiv and surrounding regions, causing casualties and damage across all districts of the capital. At least 4 people were killed and around 100 injured. The attack reportedly included Oreshnik MRBM launches, Tsirkon missiles, and UAVs targeting industrial, warehouse, and administrative facilities.
Started May 23, 2026
In the days preceding and following the 23–24 May 2026 Kyiv attack, multiple reports emerged warning of potential Oreshnik missile use, Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian cities, and Putin's vow to retaliate following accusations of Ukrainian strikes on a student dormitory in Luhansk. These claims provide context for the broader Russian escalation campaign in late May 2026.
Started May 23, 2026
Ukraine conducted a series of long-range drone strikes on oil refineries deep inside Russia in May 2026, halting oil refining operations in central Russia. Multiple refineries were targeted, including the Syzran and Tuapse facilities. Russia's Syzran refinery reportedly halted operations following a strike around May 21.
Started May 21, 2026
In mid-to-late May 2026, Russia warned Latvia of retaliation over reported Ukrainian drone plans, which Latvia dismissed as fiction. Separately, a Ukrainian drone was shot down by a NATO jet over Estonia, with Kyiv blaming Moscow for steering it there.
Started May 18, 2026
Kherson Oblast, southern Ukraine — Dnipro river, Nova Kakhovka reservoir area
Started June 6, 2023