Ukraine ballistic missile capability against Russia by late 2026

August 9, 2026·Developing

In mid-August 2026, multiple Ukrainian officials and former ministers stated that Ukraine could begin deploying domestically produced ballistic missiles against targets inside Russia by the end of 2026, with some estimates as early as autumn.

The facts

What we know — and what we don't

What we know

Ukraine's tech minister Fedorov told CBS News that Ukraine could use its own ballistic missiles against Russia by year-end. 2
A former Ukrainian defence minister stated that domestically produced ballistic missiles capable of hitting Russia could be ready within months. 3
President Zelenskyy himself stated that Ukrainian-made ballistic missiles could strike Russia as early as autumn 2026. 1

What we don't know yet

The specific missile systems being developed and their range, payload, and production status have not been publicly disclosed or independently verified. 2 3 1
Whether these statements represent a concrete capability or are partly intended as a deterrence signal to Russia is unclear. 1 2

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History

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Cite this event

Permanent URL: https://fulcrum.watch/events/ukraine-ballistic-missile-capability-against-russia-by-late-2026

Suggested citation

Fulcrum (2026). "Ukraine ballistic missile capability against Russia by late 2026." https://fulcrum.watch/events/ukraine-ballistic-missile-capability-against-russia-by-late-2026

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Ukraine war latest: Ukrainian-made ballistic missiles could hit Russia in the fall, Zelensky says

Aug 9, 2026, 04:26 UTC

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#591241Unverifiedpolitical statement

Ukraine could use its own ballistic missiles against Russia by year-end, Fedorov tells CBS News

Aug 16, 2026, 07:56 UTC

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#113606Unverifiedother

Ukraine war briefing: Kyiv could hit Russia with domestic ballistic missiles in months, former defence minister says

Aug 16, 2026, 12:51 UTC

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Ukraine ballistic missile capability against Russia by late 2026 · Fulcrum